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Physical Review E

American Physical Society (APS)

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Physical Review E's content profile, based on 112 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.06% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Distributions of threshold crossing times of messenger RNA

Verma, A. K.; Barman, H. K.; Rijal, K.; Das, D.

2026-08-23 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.20.745891 medRxiv
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Within the studies of stochastic gene expression, apart from the variability of copy number of gene products, the problems of threshold crossing of those products are biologically important as they often lead to terminal cellular events. Here, we study the threshold crossing problem of the messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) and present an exact probability distribution of first passage times in Laplace space. The function furnishes moments of any order and also predicts the characteristic time of the exponential tail of the distribution, which we match against Gillespie simulations. We find that all the measures of relative fluctuations of the threshold crossing times show U-shapes within this simple model of mRNA, as was found earlier in more mathematically involved models of threshold crossing time statistics of proteins. Furthermore, we extend the exact formula to include the phenomenon of DNA duplication and the corresponding doubling of transcription rate. As expected, the distribution varies considerably depending on the onset of the duplication stage within the cell cycle.

2
Quantitative Model of Transcriptional Noise Regulation by mRNA Condensates

Lanitis, A.; Kolomeisky, A. B.

2026-08-20 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.16.745099 medRxiv
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A fundamental biological process of transcription occurs in the cell nucleus, which is a complex medium that also contains multiple heterogeneous structures known as biomolecular condensates. Interestingly, some of these condensates contain mRNA molecules in addition to proteins, suggesting an important cellular role in transcription that is not yet well understood. In this work, we develop a minimal theoretical framework for quantitative investigation of the role of reversible mRNA condensation in transcription. Our discrete-state stochastic approach accounts for the most relevant processes, allowing us to explicitly evaluate the properties of the system and clarify the effects of condensation. Analytical calculations supported by computer simulations suggest that reversible mRNA condensation influences the transcription processes by maintaining a constant level of free mRNA in the nucleoplasm while lowering the degree of stochastic noise and increasing the robustness against external perturbations. Physicochemical arguments are presented to explain these observations. The proposed theoretical framework elucidates important microscopic aspects of transcription, providing a convenient quantitative tool for investigating complex biological phenomena.

3
Dynamics of fluctuating populations in multi-state switching environments

Mobilia, M.

2026-08-12 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.11.744206 medRxiv
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Microbial populations generally evolve in fluctuating environments under time-varying conditions. These are often described by binary switching models, sometimes seen as coarse-grained feast-famine cycles, in which resource availability switches abruptly between abundant and scarce conditions. However, experimental studies suggest that feast-famine environments actually exhibit more complex temporal dynamics. Here, we study how two strains, one growing slightly slower than the other, compete for the same resources in fluctuating environments comprising a finite number of intermediate states, each having its own carrying capacity. Environmental switching between these states and their carrying capacities represents gradual changes in nutrient availability. This class of multi-state stochastic switching models can be interpreted as a coarse-grained description of feast-famine cycles and allows us to investigate strain competition under the gradual recovery and depletion of resources. By computational and analytical means, we characterise the population dynamics in these multi-state fluctuating environments. In particular, we study how the switching rates and distribution of carrying capacities affect the population-size statistics, fixation probability, and mean fixation time. By comparing these results with their counterparts in binary environments, we clarify how the frequency and amplitude of environmental fluctuations influence population dynamics in coarse-grained feast-famine cycles.

4
Analysis and Design of Frequency-Based Biological Signaling Cascades

Naeini, A. E.; Nejad, S.; O'Donnell, D.; Kuhlman, T. E.

2026-08-24 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.19.745833 medRxiv
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Based on our experimental observation of activation state oscillations of different frequencies used to communicate information by the master human stress response regulator protein p38 MAPK 1, we develop a simple graphical approach for understanding and predicting the behavior of complex biological networks acting upon signals carrying information as different frequency waves of chemicals. This approach uses the same techniques used for analyzing and understanding information transmission using waves of electrical currents and fields used in electrical alternating current (AC) circuits. We show how biological components can be organized to behave as standard components found in electronic telecommunications circuits. Finally, we demonstrate how such components can be organized into complex biological signaling cascades whose behavior can be qualitatively and quantitatively understood, and whose output resembles that experimentally observed in p38.

5
Emergence of travelling wave patterns in resource-mediated tissue competition

Brinas-Pascual, N.; Alarcon, T.; Calvo, J.; Guerrero, P.; Oliver-Bonafoux, R.

2026-08-19 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.11.744236 medRxiv
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The study of tissue dynamics has been stimulated during the last decades thanks to the use of quantitative descriptions, with the development of several theoretical and computational frameworks, many of them revolving around the notion of reaction-diffusion systems, eventually with additional structure variables beyond time and space. The use of structure variables can accommodate phenotypic traits. In this work, we study a family of competition models, where a given population depends on a resource (e.g. oxygen) and several populations are competing for it. Our quantitative description incorporates phenotypic traits and heterogeneity at the level of cell cycle variations, which influence replication rates via oxygen consumption. This enables us to replicate the fitness of specific subpopulations to environmental conditions (e.g. oxygen shortage or external influences). Using numerical simulations, we show that such models display dynamical pattern formation in the form of coupled travelling wave profiles that expand or retreat at the same wave speed. The full theoretical analysis of such dynamics is quite involved; to circumvent this difficulty, we introduce a quasi-stationary approximation for the resource dynamics. We find that this approximation can reproduce the overall behaviour very accurately, with the additional benefit of allowing theoretical treatment of the reduced model. In this way, we provide estimates on the wave speed which are numerically shown to be robust across a wide range of macroscopic parameters of the full model. The wave speeds are thus found to depend strongly on the proliferation rate of the fittest population, resembling a winner-takes-all dynamics.

6
A dynamical circuit model for C. elegans chemotaxis with emergent sharp turns

Squires, A.; Booth, V.; Gourgou, E.

2026-08-14 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.08.09.743732 medRxiv
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With 302 neurons and a rigorously characterized connectome, the nematode Caenorhabditis elegans represents a powerful model organism to study the fundamental roles of neuronal circuits in behavior. However, despite the breadth of research, many questions remain unanswered regarding how these organisms are able to successfully navigate their environment. Here, we present a biologically grounded dynamical circuit model for the investigation of sensory-guided behavior during C. elegans chemotaxis. Our mathematical model consists of the chemosensory neuron AWA, interneurons RIM and RIA, motor neurons, including SMDs and RMDs, and body wall muscles that provide proprioceptive feedback through stretch receptors. After optimization with an evolutionary algorithm, the model locomotes effectively toward a chemical attractant, realistically capturing nematode chemotactic behavior. Chemotaxis is ensured by sharp turns, which resemble the omega turns of living nematodes, as a key emergent property of the model. The sharp turning behavior is triggered by decreases in the concentration of the attractant. These result in reduced AWA activity, which in turn triggers disinhibition of RIM and subsequent changes in RIA oscillations. The ensuing coordinated changes in downstream motor neurons activity patterns produce sharp turns, which correct the nematodes path, so that the model worm heads toward the attractant, and remains at its proximity, after it reaches the gradient peak. The proposed framework, along with its emergent dynamics, provides new insights into the minimum requirements for C. elegans circuitry to display major features of its chemotactic behavior, including omega turns. In parallel, it generates experimentally testable hypotheses with respect to the participating neuronal elements.

7
Ratiometric growth-rate control enables robust coexistence in competing microbial consortia

Barajas, C.

2026-08-31 synthetic biology 10.64898/2026.08.28.747825 medRxiv
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Maintaining a prescribed composition in engineered microbial consortia is difficult because small fitness differences can drive competitive exclusion. We study a two-strain consortium in continuous culture and develop a feedback architecture that regulates composition by selectively slowing the fast strain as a function of the population ratio. At the population level, we derive an idealized ratio-feedback law with a tunable positive coexistence equilibrium. We then propose a biomolecular realization using orthogonal quorum sensing, an sRNA-based ratiometric controller, and a ppGpp-mediated growth actuator. Exploiting the separation between slow population growth and faster intracellular controller dynamics, we use singular perturbation theory to show that, for sufficiently fast controller dynamics, the full implementation model inherits the coexistence equilibrium and its local stability properties from the reduced model. Numerical simulations validate the reduction and show how weaker timescale separation or loss of the assumed molecular regime degrades performance.

8
A geometric model of the visuomotor cortex as a sub-Riemannian assemblage of the visual and motor cortices

Baspinar, E.; Citti, G.; Sarti, A.

2026-08-12 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.08.06.743236 medRxiv
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Classical neurogeometric models describe the primary visual cortex as a fibered structure in which retinal position and local orientation are coupled through the geometry of the roto-translation group. We extend this approach to the visuomotor cortex by modeling it as an assemblage of visual and motor cortical geometries. The model combines orientation-selective representations, analogous to those of the primary visual cortex, with movement-direction-selective representations, analogous to those of the primary motor cortex, in order to describe the mixed visual and motor selectivity observed in the visuomotor cortex. We introduce a coupled visuomotor structure in which visual orientation and motor direction coexist over a common spatial plane and interact through a relative-orientation constraint. Neural responses are modeled by orientation- and direction-dependent profile functions, and preference maps are obtained from vectorized population responses. Numerical simulations generate visual, motor, and mixed visuomotor response maps. A competition rule between visual and motor responses produces incidence ratios close to experimental observations in macaque visuomotor cortex. This framework provides a first neurogeometric approximation of visuomotor functional architecture and a mathematical setting for studying visually guided action.

9
Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Dynamical Gene Regulatory Networks

Pizarro Galleguillos, F.; Bhonsale, S.; VAN IMPE, J.

2026-09-01 synthetic biology 10.64898/2026.08.31.747806 medRxiv
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The dynamics of gene regulatory networks are governed by intrinsic noise, stemming from the random nature of biochemical reactions, and by extrinsic noise, arising from fluctuations in cellular components and environmental conditions. Together, these sources can compromise the reliability of predictive computational models if not properly accounted for, and capturing both effects within a single framework remains a non-trivial task in computational biology. In this work, we propose an uncertainty quantification framework that addresses these two contributions jointly: intrinsic stochasticity is described through a partial integro-differential equation (PIDE) for the protein probability density function, whereas extrinsic noise is represented as parametric uncertainty in the kinetic parameters. The propagation of the uncertainty is carried out via an intrusive polynomial chaos expansion (PCE), in which the PCE coefficients are obtained from a stochastic Galerkin projection of the PIDE, yielding a coupled deterministic system that is solved with standard numerical methods. We illustrate the approach on a positive autoregulatory gene network with one and two uncertain kinetic parameters. The proposed approach accurately reproduces the mean, variance, and full protein probability density function, including the bimodal distributions, at a substantially lower computational cost.

10
Improving the Hodgkin-Huxley Models of Ionic Conductance and Action Potential Generation

Djioua, M.

2026-08-10 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.08.04.742717 medRxiv
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This study presents improvements to the Hodgkin-Huxley (HH) models of ionic conductance and action potential generation. Sodium and potassium conductances are expressed by a single analytical formula describing the impulse response of a convolution of exponential distributions within a short-memory integration space. Treating transmembrane ion transit duration as a random variable, conductance profiles are interpreted as realizations of the probability density functions governing ionic movements. Applying the central limit theorem, the lognormal distribution emerges as the asymptotic profile of ionic conductances, constituting a fundamental primitive for such biosignals. A temporal state-transition paradigm describes the action potential waveform through four successive membrane potential transitions. Applied to electrophysiological recordings from lamprey reticulospinal neurons, this framework enables indirect estimation of key physiological quantities, including depolarization threshold, Nernst potentials, and net ion fluxes across the membrane. These advances open new perspectives for parameter estimation from experimental data and neuronal network simulation.

11
Entanglement dilution and high fractal dimension mediated by loop extrusion revealed in simulations of active polymer melts

Chan, B.; Rubinstein, M.

2026-08-14 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.08.743709 medRxiv
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In the active loop extrusion model, the cohesin protein complex creates chromatin loops in eukaryotic cells. Extrusion maintains topologically associated domains (TADs), which are contiguous segments of chromatin that preferentially colocalize in space and are typically bounded by CTCF proteins that pause cohesin translocation. Here, we model active loop extrusion with hybrid molecular dynamics - Monte Carlo simulations in entangled flexible linear polymer melts. Intra-chain contact probabilities of polymers with active loop extrusion are enhanced compared to their equilibrium, passive counterparts. Extrusion causes the size of chain segments to be much smaller than in passive melts. While the overlap parameter in passive melts without extrusion monotonically increases with segment length, it is nonmonotonic in active melts and on the order of unity within the parameters of this study. Active loop extrusion suppresses contacts between TADs in favor of intra-TAD contacts. Reduction of overlaps between chain segments dilutes entanglements in active melts. Depending on parameters, active extrusion without TADs may induce more compact conformations than with TADs, due in part to fractal loopy globule-like dynamics. This work suggests that active loop extrusion reduces overlaps between TADs, contributing to effective gene regulation by cis-regulatory elements.

12
Action Potential Thresholds and Excitability from the Geometry of Membrane Potential

Herrera-Valdez, M. A.

2026-08-26 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.08.21.746364 medRxiv
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A novel mathematical framework to define the threshold of action potentials in excitable cells is presented. Unlike previously applied methods that rely on approximations or bifurcations, the approach focuses on the geometry of membrane potential trajectories. The changes in concavity during the upstroke of an action potential can be directly obtained from a time series of voltages. The concavity criterion is then extended to models based on autonomous dynamical systems where the changes in concavity can be obtained analytically from a curve of inflection points in phase space. The inflection point manifold defines a region required for excitability: all the orbits that cross it contain action potentials, and all the trajectories that contain action potentials are in it. This analytical principle can then be used to define excitability in a dynamical system, and also a measure of excitability that enables quantification and comparisons of excitability across dynamical system. The measure provides a way to compare the excitabilities of systems that model neurons with different electrophysiological phenotypes and consider different stimulus conditions. The traditionally vague physiological concept of electrical excitability is transformed into a rigorous analytical description by considering the time-dependent curvature of the membrane potential. The criterion is robust across smooth, single compartment models of electrical excitability and can be can be extended to single compartment models in higher dimensions, and multicompartment models as well.

13
Markovian Dynamics and Spectral Relaxation of Metastatic Networks

Margarit, D.

2026-08-18 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.13.743956 medRxiv
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Structural network representations of metastatic dissemination typically focus on static topology without resolving transport dynamics, relaxation timescales, or steady-state behaviour. Here, we formulate a discrete Markovian transport model on a directed higher-order network with transition rates derived from qualitative clinical affinity classes. By constructing a non-Hermitian row-stochastic transfer operator, we characterise the relaxation dynamics through its spectral decomposition. The system exhibits a fast-mixing regime characterised by a spectral gap of {gamma} {approx} 0.67, corresponding to a characteristic relaxation timescale of {tau} {approx} 1.49 discrete steps, with the influence of the primary tumour origin progressively attenuated during dissemination. Convergence towards a non-equilibrium steady state (NESS) is accompanied by a reduction in Shannon entropy, concentrating probability mass within specific topological sinks. This spectral relaxation delineates two distinct dynamical regimes: early transient dissemination (n < {tau}), dominated by local organ-specific transition probabilities (organotropism), and the asymptotic regime (n > {tau}), determined increasingly by the global transport architecture of the network. Comparison with independent clinical and autopsy observations across 21 primary tumours and 23 target organs indicates that the predicted stationary distribution is consistent with the observed hierarchy of metastatic organ involvement.

14
Propagation electrodynamics and differential conduction of action potentials in geometrically branched squid giant axons

Liu, X.; Fang, W.; Perlin, K.

2026-08-07 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.03.742547 medRxiv
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Classical neuronal cable theory relies on quasi-static electric field approximations and neglects magnetic induction, Lorentz force coupling, and transient electromagnetic currents, limiting its ability to fully characterize action potential propagation within geometrically branched axons and dendrites. This work develops a coupled Maxwell-electromagnetic cable framework by integrating finite-difference time-domain (FDTD) solutions of Maxwells equations with extended Hodgkin-Huxley and Fitzhugh-Nagumo membrane dynamics, incorporating magnetic gating perturbations, electromagnetic trans-membrane currents IEM, and nanoscale quantum corrections for thin neural segments. Controlled propagation experiments are designed to quantify deviations from standard cable predictions across asymmetric and symmetric axonal bifurcation geometries. Numerical results demonstrate that inductive magnetic effects lower the critical branch radius for junction conduction failure and break symmetric action potential invasion in geometrically identical child branches under external transverse magnetic fields. An electromagnetic corrected geometric ratio GREM is proposed to revise impedance-matching conditions at branch points, accounting for size-dependent axial current imbalance induced by magnetic and displacement currents. Parent axon conduction velocity deviates substantially from the canonical [Formula] scaling law when electromagnetic feedback and quantum charge distributions are included, triggering early signal blockage at large cable diameters. Collectively, this study establishes that quasi-static cable models underestimate electromagnetic corrections to propagation speed, waveform shape, and bifurcation transmission fidelity; the coupled Maxwell-cable framework provides a comprehensive multi-physics tool for modeling electrodynamic signal behavior in complex neuronal architectures.

15
A traveling network model predicts emergent dynamics and search behavior from local remodeling in Physarum polycephalum

Chen, A.; Tan, S.; Mundewadi, Y. V.; Riedel-Kruse, I. H.; Cira, N. J.

2026-08-19 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.13.744445 medRxiv
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A variety of connected systems, ranging from the cytoskeleton to human organizations, dynamically rearrange themselves in order to move through physical or abstract space. However, our understanding of how systems-level behaviors arise from local restructuring actions remains limited, necessitating comparison of real-world data to models that predict network structure and dynamics. To understand these systems, we study an accessible example, the branching slime mold Physarum polycephalum, by imaging the organism as it travels and extracting key fundamental quantities from its continuously remodeling tubular network. By using these quantities as input parameters to a traveling network model, we find that with no further fitting, the model quantitatively matches key emergent properties from P. polycephalum dynamics including path length, relocation time, and search efficiency at different spatial resolutions. These findings demonstrate how a traveling network model can capture P. polycephalum behaviors, highlighting the potential to use traveling networks more broadly for understanding and predicting connected dynamic systems by linking local measurements to emergent, system-wide behaviors.

16
Nanoscale numerical simulations explain apparently opposing experimental findings on ephaptic coupling

Jaeger, K. H.; Tveito, A.

2026-08-19 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.11.744093 medRxiv
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A classical study found no excitation transfer when isolated cardiomyocytes were placed side by side, whereas a recent paper reported action potential transfer in carrdiomyocytes placed end to end. We use nanoscale numerical simulations based on the full Poisson-Nernst-Planck equations to investigate whether these apparently opposing observations can be explained by the different geometrical configurations. The computations show that in the end-to-end configuration, ephaptic coupling occurs when the intercellular cleft is sufficiently narrow and a sufficiently large fraction of the sodium channels is localized at the intercalated disc. Coupling is strengthened when the sodium channels are concentrated in fewer clusters and when ionic diffusion within the cleft is reduced. Under these conditions, excitation transfer occurs on a timescale consistent with rapid cell-to-cell activation. Conduction depends biphasically on cleft width and terminates abruptly beyond a critical width. Localization of potassium channels at the intercalated disc has only a moderate effect, whereas gap junctions substantially improve conduction and reduce the relative contribution of ephaptic coupling. In the side-by-side configuration, excitation transfer does not occur under physiological conditions and requires highly flattened cells, minimal separation, and unrealistically strong sodium-channel clustering. The different outcomes of the side-by-side and end-to-end experiments can therefore be explained by the fundamentally different geometrical conditions for ephaptic coupling.

17
Complex epidemiological dynamics driven by the combination of host spatial structure and seasonal forcing

Best, A.; White, A.; Boots, M.

2026-08-11 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.10.743859 medRxiv
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Spatial population structure and seasonality are both central to the spread of many infectious diseases of plants, animals and humans. While seasonal forcing in transmission often plays an important role in epidemiological models of a wide range of infectious disease, and we now have some theoretical understanding of the dynamical impacts of spatial structure, the combined effects of these two ubiquitous processes has not been examined in detail. Here, we develop a novel model to explore the combined influence of spatial structure and temporal variability on disease dynamics. Spatial structure is represented using a lattice-based approach with near-neighbour interactions, while temporal variability is included through regular, seasonal, variation of the transmission rate. We use bifurcation analysis of a pair approximation of the full spatial model to identify the parameter regimes associated with qualitatively distinct dynamical behaviours. The model exhibits a remarkably wide range of complex dynamics, including limit cycles, quasi-periodic cycles, multi-year cycles, chaotic dynamics and bistability between these different states. In particular, complex dynamics occur when reproduction is predominantly local, with the dynamics depending critically on the amplitude of the seasonal transmission rate. We show how high transmission rates, high birth rates and in particular low recovery rates are requirements for complex dynamics. We predict that SI-type disease interactions in plant pathogen systems will show complex dynamics even with relatively global transmission dynamics.

18
Transmembrane coupling of protein condensates via membrane-mediated interactions: A simulation study

Argun, B. R.; Stachowiak, J.; Ren, P.

2026-08-21 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.14.744969 medRxiv
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Recent experiments show that protein condensates sitting on opposite surfaces of a flat lipid membrane move together and prefer to overlap, even though they cannot touch each other. This points to an indirect, membrane-mediated interaction. Two mechanisms could be responsible: a curvature-induced interaction, which is energetic in origin, and a fluctuation-induced interaction, which is entropic. Here we study both with coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulations, using Cookes implicit-solvent lipid model together with a generic bead-spring polymer model for the condensate. We compute the potential of mean force between two condensates across the membrane. For condensates of the same size, full overlap is unfavorable, and the pair instead settles into a partially overlapping state that bends the membrane into an S-like shape. When the two condensates differ strongly in size, full overlap becomes favorable. We explain this with a simple geometric picture. The condensate wets the membrane as a thin film and imposes curvature only along its rim, while membrane tension flattens the membrane under its interior. The resulting ring of curvature can trap a smaller condensate on the opposite side. We also compare the bending undulations and the effective bending modulus of a bare membrane, a membrane with one condensate, and a membrane with condensates on both sides. A wetting condensate suppresses the undulation modes and stiffens the membrane, but whether this makes overlap entropically favorable remains inconclusive. Our results indicate that the coupling is driven mainly by curvature, and that it depends on the wetting mechanism and on the membrane tension.

19
Shear effects in active models of normal and cancer cells

Sadhukhan, S.; Das, R.; Zhao, L.; Losert, W.; Thirumalai, D.

2026-08-20 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.15.744982 medRxiv
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Mechanical properties of biological tissues, driven by passive and active forces, play a vital role in several processes ranging from development to cancer metastasis. However, the dynamical responses of cells in tissues, subject to mechanical deformations such as shear and the associated rheological properties, are not well characterized. Here, we use three-dimensional agent-based models for normal and cancer tissues to investigate their responses to simple shear as a function of cell stiffness and stochastic active forces. In the normal epithelium, with uniform strength of active force, the yield stress as a function of shear rate follows the Herschel-Bulkley form over a range of cell volume fraction. Strikingly, the shear rate dependence and the elasticity-dependent changes in the yield stress fall on master curves upon suitable scaling. To model cancer-like behavior, a certain fraction (Np) of cells was chosen to have enhanced activity and decreased stiffness. As Np increases, the extent of collective cell movement decreases, transitioning from affine (collective) to non-affine (individualistic) movement, a finding that is in accord with imaging experiments. Simulations of a model of a stiff solid tumor, with radius Rs embedded in normal tissue, show that as Rs increases, the yield stress increases. Interestingly, the cells migrate collectively as Rs increases. A Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and a mean field theory quantitatively account for the simulation as well as experimental results on cancerous, non-cancerous, and a mixture of these two types. The combined theoretical and experimental study establishes that heterogeneity in stiffness and activity determines non-affine movements in normal and cancer tissues.

20
Modeling Dynamics of Contact Inhibition of Proliferation and Structural Order in a Confluent Epithelium

Ghosh, J.; Bhattacharjee, T.; Dutta, S.

2026-08-29 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.26.747344 medRxiv
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Contact inhibition of proliferation (CIP) enables epithelial tissues to self-regulate growth and maintain tissue homeostasis. However, how cell-level mechanical contact, tissue-scale structural order, and proliferation kinetics interplay remains a fundamental open question in living matter physics. Here, we present a particle-based model of a confluent epithelial monolayer governed by overdamped dynamics, where individual cells interact via a two-dimensional hard core- soft shoulder potential. By comparing structural evolution during quasistatic densification with previously reported experimental division kinetics, we find that the dynamics of proliferation arrest mimics the onset of direct steric contacts between the hard cores of the shell. Identifying hard core contacts as the physical driver of CIP, we couple our mechanical model with a stochastic Monte Carlo division scheme in which the instantaneous division rate decreases to zero from an intrinsic value as the number of hard core contact increases to six from zero. We demonstrate that for high intrinsic division rates, the cellular densification outpaces mechanical relaxation. This kinetic mismatch drives premature hard-core contact formation, shifts the onset of jamming and contact inhibition to lower packing fractions, and induces increasingly disordered transient configurations before the tissue universally converges to a hexagonal close-packed limit. Our model's predicted division kinetics and structural order evolution are consistent with epithelial monolayer experiments, both reported and our own. This minimal physical framework links single-cell steric contact mechanics directly to tissue-scale growth regulation and structural evolution.